Ginger Cruz laps Jim Moylan in poll that shows tight race for control of legislature

Democratic congressional candidate Ginger Cruz leads incumbent Republican Jim Moylan in the first and only publicly available statistical poll. That same poll shows a tight race for control of the Guam Legislature, with Democrats keeping a slim 8-7 majority in the 15-member unicameral chamber.

The results of the poll – overseen by longtime political analyst and pollster Ron McNinch – suggest that if the General Election were held last week, Ms. Cruz would have been elected by a significant 54 percent to 46 percent majority, and that two non-incumbent legislative candidates will force out two incumbents.

The General Election will be held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024. If you are not registered to vote, or unsure whether you remain registered to vote, call the Guam Election Commission at (671) 477-9791, or register online at: https://gec.guam.gov/register/

Here is the breakdown of the August 19 through 21, 2024 poll of 244 Guam voters in a quota sample controlled for sex and age, according to Mr. McNinch: